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'The Last Laugh': EU Sanctions on Russia Backfiring as Moscow Winning 'Energy War,' Analysts Say_我的网站

A |     AI摘要      国民党公布民调显示，基隆市长谢国梁施政满意度超五成五，在三大选区支持度全面领先民进党参选人童子玮。    Western sanctions that followed the launching of Russia’s special operation in Ukraine in February were nakedly aimed at reducing Russia energy exports to zero and making the Russian economy “scream,” as they had similarly attempted with Venezuela and Iran. However, with Moscow securing new markets and prices rebounding, it’s Europeans who are on the losing end of things, experts told Sputnik on Thursday.,According to Bloomberg, prices across Europe are expected to increase sharply later this year, when European sanctions against Russian crude oil exports take effect, with some places predicting a doubling in prices. All this while Russia’s crude oil production and income continue to recover to pre-February levels, thanks to expanded exports to Asian buyers and a healthy relationship with OPEC+.,Western European governments had better hope the winter is warm, because if people start freezing due to fuel shortages, they will demand an end to their government’s policies blocking the gas.,Dr. Mamdouh G. Salameh, a visiting professor of energy economics at the ESCP Business School in London, told Sputnik that “energy is far more formidable weapon in the hand of President Putin than hydrogen bombs.”,“The world, particularly the European Union (EU), is very dependent on Russian oil and gas supplies. That is why Western sanctions have so far largely refrained from sanctioning Russian oil and gas exports to the EU and that is why Russia is winning the energy war,” the economist asserted.,“Western sanctions against Russia have on the whole failed miserably,” he said. “The sanctions are hurting the economies of those imposing them rather than the Russian economy.”,He noted that in the US and EU alike, high gas prices are having widespread effects across their economies, helping to push the EU into a recession.,“There will very soon come the time when European citizens will ask their governments to stop spending billions of dollars supplying Ukraine with weapons rather than use these billions to help them reduce their energy bills,” he predicted. “The day is coming when the EU will reverse course on Ukraine and lift the sanctions against Russia in return for plentiful Russian cheap gas and oil supplies. If it is to be able to do that, the EU has to free itself from the United States’ pressure and stand up to the US.”,“The more sanctions Western countries impose on Russia, the higher the prices of oil and gas surge and the more revenues Russia gets from its energy exports,” Salameh said, adding that “Western analysts and some experts are daydreaming and also deluding themselves if they think that the Russian energy sector is failing. They are trying to talk down Russia’s energy sector but they are doomed to fail miserably.”,“The real irony is that Russia’s economy will emerge in a better shape than most Western economies in the aftermath of the Ukraine conflict. Putin is going to have the last laugh.”,Vladimir Demidov, an international expert on the resources and energy markets, told Sputnik that regardless of the path of European policy, at this point, Russian energy is not coming back. European nations will adapt, but the higher energy costs will stay and will cause Europe’s global standing to decline.,“I don't think there's going to be a global crisis, given that [there is] a fairly rapid filling of underground storage facilities,” he said. “I think that talking about freezing is a fiction, of course, provided that -40 [Celsius] does not hold in Europe. And then, I think, it will be more difficult.”,“Next year, I don't think they will freeze at all,” he predicted. “Enough gas for them and mine, I think they will unpack their coal mines, cuts, quarries. There they will start producing gas at home, by fracturing the reservoir, in general, they will kill nature, but they will have enough gas.”,“And in the future, Gazprom will only supply less. I think its share will fall to 50 billion [cubic meters per day] in the next two or three years, at most. The problem is that everything that is mined by them [Europe] is very expensive. The role of Europe as an economically independent unit of the world economy will simply disappear. Europe will cease to be independent,” Demidov said.,Still, Demidov predicted that Europe’s sanctions policies would continue, even as they set in motion the gradual decline of the continent.,“In Europe, four premiers are gone, including in Great Britain. I do not think that it [governments dissolving] will continue; if the winter is really warm enough, then other premiers will not fly. And everyone is fine, they will say that ‘you see, we did it! These hordes have not conquered us!’ After that, the fall of the European economy will start. The sanctions they have introduced have not been thought through, they will cause themselves more damage than Russia in the next 3-5 years.”。童子玮阵营质疑民调动机，称无需放数据壮胆。         中国国民党基隆市党部22日公布委托“公信力民意调查公司”于8月1日至17日进行的民意调查结果，数据显示，现任基隆市市长谢国梁在施政表现上获得广大市民肯定，各区满意度均高达五成五以上；在对决民进党参选人、赖清德表侄童子玮的对比式民调中，谢国梁更在中正区、信义区及中山区三大选区呈现全面大幅领先态势，显见基隆市民对谢市长两年多来积极推动市政、深耕地方成果的有感与信任。         国民党基隆市党部表示，谢国梁施政稳健，据民调结果显示满意度破五成五，代表市民高度肯定市府团队作为。根据民调数据，基隆市民对谢国梁的整体施政表现给予高度评价，包括信义区满意度高达58.4%、中正区满意度也达到57.3%、中山区满意度则达55.9%，三大区域的满意度平均皆在五成六，显示市府团队近年在交通改善、儿童休闲设施打造、观光发展及弱势关怀等市政建设上的努力，得到了跨区域市民一致的肯定。    国民党基隆市党部也指出，谢国梁在报告公布的三个选区中均展现出显著的领先优势。在信义区，谢国梁获得44.9%的支持度，大幅领先童子玮的28.0%，领先幅度达16.9个百分点。在中山区，谢国梁支持度为40.7%，童子玮为29.1%，谢国梁稳定领先11.6个百分点。

B | 在中正区，谢国梁支持度为38.5%，童子玮为30.6%，谢国梁领先7.9个百分点。

C | 无论是绿营传统强势区域或是新兴住宅区，谢国梁皆以扎实的基层凝聚力与施政表现获得市民跨党派的支持，领先差距有目共睹。

D |     国民党基隆市党部认为，实际做事胜过政治口水，谢国梁市长持续以市民福祉为优先，这份民调证明了“政绩就是最好的宣传”。    对此，童子玮竞选办回应称，如果真的领先这么多，何须放出民调壮胆？。

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